Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

New York Senate District 38

New York State Senate · New York

Joseph W. Rand flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 8.2 points over Bill Weber.

Fusion voting

Joseph W. RandDemocrat · winner
54.1%61,610
Bill WeberRepublican · incumbent
45.9%52,258
Write-inOther party
0.1%97
113,965 votes

Source: New York State Board of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+3.22022 SenateR+7.22024 SenateR+11.22024 Pres.D+8.22026 Senate

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Joseph W. RandBill Weber
$225.1K
Raised by the campaign
$274.8K
$375K
Public matching funds
$375K
$436K
Spent by the campaign
$631.4K
23%
Individual money from small donors (≤$250)
17%
849
Contributions
603

Top funders

Largest contributors to each campaign; the color shows which candidate they gave to.

Linie RandTo Rand's campaign$14K
William WeberTo Weber's campaign$5.3K
Maryann TurcoTo Weber's campaign$5.1K
1199 SEIU - NYSTo Rand's campaign$5K
UUP Higher Education Action FundTo Rand's campaign$5K
John ScheuerTo Rand's campaign$5K
Marsha RandTo Rand's campaign$5K
Lewis BrydenTo Weber's campaign$5K
Ortt For State SenateTo Weber's campaign$5K
Rpac Of NysTo Weber's campaign$5K
Show 2 more

Campaign money: New York State Board of Elections, through Oct 19, 2026.

Source: New York State Board of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Joseph W. Rand
36%
Bill Weber
64%
Projected margin
R+2.6
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Joseph W. Rand (D)
Mayor of Nyack
Bill Weber (R)
Incumbent senator

Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.1%