CalledUnofficial results

New York Assembly District 38

New York State Assembly · New York

David Orkin held the seat for Democrats, winning by 46.7 points over Ruben D. Cruz II.

Fusion voting

David OrkinDemocrat · winner
73.3%16,758
Ruben D. Cruz IIRepublican
26.6%6,074
Write-inOther party
0.2%42
22,874 votes

Source: New York State Board of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+13.82024 Pres.D+46.72026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

David OrkinNo Republican
$178K
Raised by the campaign
—
$211.3K
Public matching funds
—
$335K
Spent by the campaign
—
49%
Individual money from small donors (≤$250)
—
2,975
Contributions
—

Top funders

Largest contributors to each campaign; the color shows which candidate they gave to.

Daniel OrkinTo Orkin's campaign$5.6K
Cwa District One PacTo Orkin's campaign$3.8K
Michael LehmanTo Orkin's campaign$3.2K
Chao SongTo Orkin's campaign$3K
James EpsteinTo Orkin's campaign$3K

Campaign money: New York State Board of Elections, through Oct 19, 2026.

Source: New York State Board of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

No Republican was on the ballot, so the model gave the seat to David Orkin without simulating it.

How the forecast works →

The candidates

David Orkin (D)
Staff attorney at Make the Road New York
Ruben D. Cruz II (R)

Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.2%