Still countingUnofficial results

New York Assembly District 15

New York State Assembly · New York

Paolo Pironi leads Dean Tarulli by 4.5 points. The race has not been called.

Fusion voting

Paolo PironiRepublican · leading
52.2%23,590
Dean TarulliDemocrat
47.7%21,539
Write-inOther party
0.1%27
45,156 votes

Source: New York State Board of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+16.12024 HouseR+11.32024 Pres.R+4.52026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Dean TarulliPaolo Pironi
$15.2K
Raised by the campaign
$32.3K
—
Public matching funds
$80.2K
$29.6K
Spent by the campaign
$18.6K
80%
Individual money from small donors (≤$250)
43%
290
Contributions
154

Top funders

Largest contributors to each campaign; the color shows which candidate they gave to.

Barone Management LLCTo Pironi's campaign$3K
Silvana PironiTo Pironi's campaign$2K
North Shore Republican Club IncTo Pironi's campaign$1.4K
Melissa TagarielloTo Tarulli's campaign$1.1K
Aly LizzaTo Pironi's campaign$1K
Syosset-Woodbury Republican CommitteeTo Pironi's campaign$1K
Barry NobelTo Tarulli's campaign$1K
Dean TarulliTo Tarulli's campaign$500
Lisa TagarielloTo Tarulli's campaign$350
Rupali SarkarTo Tarulli's campaign$300
Show 2 more

Campaign money: New York State Board of Elections, through Oct 19, 2026; New York State Board of Elections, through Oct 16, 2026.

Source: New York State Board of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Dean Tarulli
28%
Paolo Pironi
72%
Projected margin
R+4.3
How the forecast works →