CalledUnofficial results
Montana House District 5
Montana House of Representatives · Montana
Braxton Mitchell won re-election by 41.6 points over Luca Welle.
Braxton MitchellRepublican · winner · incumbent
70.8%3,731
Luca WelleDemocrat
29.2%1,538
5,269 votes
Source: Montana Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Luca WelleBraxton Mitchell
$5.7K
Raised by the campaign
$14.9K
$4.8K
Spent by the campaign
$12.5K
Campaign money: Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, through Sep 16, 2026; Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, through Oct 13, 2026.
Source: Montana Commissioner of Political Practices campaign filingsUpdated Sep 16, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Luca Welle
- <1%
- Braxton Mitchell
- >99%
- Projected margin
- R+36.4