CalledUnofficial results

Montana House District 40

Montana House of Representatives · Montana

Mike Vinton won re-election by 40.0 points over Gabriel Bradshaw.

Mike VintonRepublican · winner · incumbent
70.0%2,604
30.0%1,116
3,720 votes

Source: Montana Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+48.92024 HouseR+49.52024 Pres.R+40.02026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Gabriel BradshawMike Vinton
$1.8K
Raised by the campaign
$17.4K
$916
Spent by the campaign
$19.9K

Campaign money: Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, through Aug 16, 2026; Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, through Oct 10, 2026.

Source: Montana Commissioner of Political Practices campaign filingsUpdated Aug 16, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Gabriel Bradshaw
<1%
Mike Vinton
>99%
Projected margin
R+37.3
How the forecast works →