Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial results
Montana House District 4
Montana House of Representatives · Montana
Paula Koch flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 9.1 points over Shaun Pandina.
Paula KochDemocrat · winner
54.6%2,748
Shaun PandinaRepublican
45.4%2,288
5,036 votes
Source: Montana Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Paula KochShaun Pandina
$47.4K
Raised by the campaign
$25.4K
$14.7K
Spent by the campaign
$19.1K
Campaign money: Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, through Oct 5, 2026; Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, through Oct 7, 2026.
Source: Montana Commissioner of Political Practices campaign filingsUpdated Oct 7, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Paula Koch
- 73%
- Shaun Pandina
- 27%
- Projected margin
- D+4.5