Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Montana House District 20
Montana House of Representatives · Montana
Steve Keller flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 1.2 points over Melissa Nikolakakos.
Steve KellerDemocrat · winner
50.6%1,986
Melissa NikolakakosRepublican · incumbent
49.4%1,940
3,926 votes
Source: Montana Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Steve KellerMelissa Nikolakakos
$2.9K
Raised by the campaign
$33.9K
$5.9K
Spent by the campaign
$82.9K
Campaign money: Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, through Sep 16, 2026; Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, through Oct 27, 2026.
Source: Montana Commissioner of Political Practices campaign filingsUpdated Sep 16, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Steve Keller
- 29%
- Melissa Nikolakakos
- 71%
- Projected margin
- R+4.0