Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Missouri House District 31
Missouri House of Representatives · Missouri
Justin Geiser flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 6.3 points over Ron Fowler.
Justin GeiserDemocrat · winner
53.1%7,688
Ron FowlerRepublican · incumbent
46.9%6,779
91% of the expected vote counted · 14,467 votes
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 5, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Justin Geiser
- 44%
- Ron Fowler
- 56%
- Projected margin
- R+1.1