Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

Missouri House District 16

Missouri House of Representatives · Missouri

Dan Kinate flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 8.8 points over Chris Brown.

Dan KinateDemocrat · winner
54.4%8,324
Chris BrownRepublican · incumbent
45.6%6,979
90% of the expected vote counted · 15,303 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+16.52022 HouseR+11.42024 HouseD+0.12024 Pres.D+8.82026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Dan Kinate
71%
Chris Brown
29%
Projected margin
D+4.0
How the forecast works →