Within recount rangeUnofficial results
Minnesota Senate District 33
Minnesota State Senate · Minnesota
Karin Housley leads Nat Smith by 0.09 points in the state's complete count, within recount range. The race is not called until the state certifies its results.
Karin HousleyRepublican · leading · incumbent
50.0%23,977
Nat SmithDemocrat
49.9%23,935
Write-InOther party
0.1%39
47,951 votes
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Nat SmithKarin Housley
$152K
Raised by the campaign
$119K
$143.2K
Spent by the campaign
$125.8K
$8.8K
Cash on hand
$15K
Campaign money: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board, through Oct 19, 2026.
Source: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Nat Smith
- 69%
- Karin Housley
- 31%
- Projected margin
- D+3.6
The candidates
Karin Housley (R)
Incumbent, Minnesota State Senate, first elected 2012Nat Smith (D)
Incumbent, Minnesota State Senate, first elected 2012Nat Smith (D)
Also on the ballot: Write-In (Other party), 0.1%