CalledUnofficial results
Minnesota Senate District 11
Minnesota State Senate · Minnesota
Jason Rarick won re-election by 13.2 points over Mary Carlson.
Jason RarickRepublican · winner · incumbent
55.3%22,240
Mary CarlsonDemocrat
42.1%16,936
Monique DowardForward
2.5%996
Write-InOther party
0.1%25
40,197 votes
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Mary CarlsonJason Rarick
$60.9K
Raised by the campaign
$55.4K
$24.7K
Spent by the campaign
$42.1K
$36.1K
Cash on hand
$18.2K
Other candidates' campaigns: Monique Doward $12.2K.
Campaign money: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board, through Oct 19, 2026.
Source: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Mary Carlson
- 4%
- Jason Rarick
- 96%
- Projected margin
- R+13.4
The candidates
Jason Rarick (R)
Incumbent, Minnesota State Senate, first elected 2020Mary Carlson (D)
Incumbent, Minnesota State Senate, first elected 2020Mary Carlson (D)
Also on the ballot: Monique Doward (Forward), 2.5%; Write-In (Other party), 0.1%