CalledUnofficial results
Minnesota House District 54B
Minnesota House of Representatives · Minnesota
Natalie Barnes held the seat for Republicans, winning by 11.4 points over Christopher Kartschoke.
Natalie BarnesRepublican · winner
55.7%12,972
Christopher KartschokeDemocrat
44.3%10,307
Write-InOther party
0.1%13
23,292 votes
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Christopher KartschokeNatalie Barnes
$15.2K
Raised by the campaign
$36.8K
$11.3K
Spent by the campaign
$22.2K
$3.9K
Cash on hand
$14.6K
Campaign money: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board, through Oct 19, 2026.
Source: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Christopher Kartschoke
- 20%
- Natalie Barnes
- 80%
- Projected margin
- R+6.0