CalledUnofficial results
Minnesota House District 54A
Minnesota House of Representatives · Minnesota
Brad Tabke won re-election by 14.4 points over Aaron Paul.
Brad TabkeDemocrat · winner · incumbent
57.1%11,938
Aaron PaulRepublican
42.7%8,937
Write-InOther party
0.2%35
20,910 votes
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Brad TabkeAaron Paul
$101.3K
Raised by the campaign
$56.7K
$101.2K
Spent by the campaign
$26.7K
$5.4K
Cash on hand
$35.1K
Campaign money: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board, through Oct 19, 2026.
Source: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Brad Tabke
- 98%
- Aaron Paul
- 2%
- Projected margin
- D+15.1
The candidates
Brad Tabke (D)
Incumbent, Minnesota House of Representatives, first elected 2018Aaron Paul (R)
Incumbent, Minnesota House of Representatives, first elected 2018Aaron Paul (R)
Also on the ballot: Write-In (Other party), 0.2%