CalledUnofficial results
Minnesota House District 53A
Minnesota House of Representatives · Minnesota
Mary Frances Clardy won re-election by 26.1 points over AJ Gubash.
Mary Frances ClardyDemocrat · winner · incumbent
63.0%14,233
AJ GubashRepublican
36.9%8,338
Write-InOther party
0.1%17
22,588 votes
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Mary Frances ClardyAJ Gubash
$44.1K
Raised by the campaign
$13.7K
$29.6K
Spent by the campaign
$9.3K
$20.4K
Cash on hand
$4.4K
Campaign money: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board, through Oct 19, 2026.
Source: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Mary Frances Clardy
- >99%
- AJ Gubash
- <1%
- Projected margin
- D+28.7
The candidates
Mary Frances Clardy (D)
Incumbent, Minnesota House of Representatives, first elected 2022AJ Gubash (R)
Incumbent, Minnesota House of Representatives, first elected 2022AJ Gubash (R)
Also on the ballot: Write-In (Other party), 0.1%