CalledUnofficial results

Minnesota House District 40A

Minnesota House of Representatives · Minnesota

Aisha Elmquist held the seat for Democrats, winning by 30.7 points over Luis Withrow.

Aisha ElmquistDemocrat · winner
65.3%14,328
Luis WithrowRepublican
34.6%7,597
Write-InOther party
0.1%17
21,942 votes

Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+23.32022 HouseD+27.72024 Pres.D+30.72026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Aisha ElmquistLuis Withrow
$91.9K
Raised by the campaign
$998
$63.7K
Spent by the campaign
$649
$28.2K
Cash on hand
$349

Campaign money: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board, through Oct 19, 2026.

Source: Minnesota Campaign Finance Board campaign filingsUpdated Oct 19, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Aisha Elmquist
>99%
Luis Withrow
<1%
Projected margin
D+38.7
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Aisha Elmquist (D)Luis Withrow (R)

Also on the ballot: Write-In (Other party), 0.1%