CalledUnofficial results

Iowa Senate District 33

Iowa State Senate · Iowa

Carrie Koelker won re-election by 19.4 points over Mary Ungs-Sogaard.

Staggered Senate

Carrie KoelkerRepublican · winner · incumbent
59.7%17,383
40.2%11,722
Write-inOther party
0.1%19
29,124 votes

Source: Iowa Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+31.72022 SenateR+28.62024 Pres.R+19.42026 Senate

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Mary Ungs-SogaardCarrie Koelker
$0
Raised by the campaign
$52.2K
$0
Spent by the campaign
$2.4K

Campaign money: Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board; Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board, through May 14, 2026.

Source: Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board campaign filingsUpdated May 14, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Mary Ungs-Sogaard
1%
Carrie Koelker
99%
Projected margin
R+18.6
How the forecast works →

The candidates