Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial results

Iowa Senate District 21

Iowa State Senate · Iowa

Heather Matson flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 12.6 points over John Hollinrake.

Staggered Senate

Heather MatsonDemocrat · winner
56.3%19,860
John HollinrakeRepublican
43.6%15,398
Write-inOther party
0.1%34
35,292 votes

Source: Iowa Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+1.92022 SenateR+2.22024 Pres.D+12.62026 Senate

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Heather MatsonJohn Hollinrake
$81.8K
Raised by the campaign
$16.5K
$7.6K
Spent by the campaign
$12K

Campaign money: Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board, through May 26, 2026; Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board, through May 3, 2026.

Source: Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board campaign filingsUpdated May 3, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Heather Matson
93%
John Hollinrake
7%
Projected margin
D+11.5
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Heather Matson (D)John Hollinrake (R)

Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.1%