CalledUnofficial results

Iowa House District 23

Iowa House of Representatives · Iowa

Ray Bubba Sorensen won re-election by 34.2 points over Karen Varley.

Ray Bubba SorensenRepublican · winner · incumbent
67.0%9,548
Karen VarleyDemocrat
32.8%4,680
Write-inOther party
0.2%22
14,250 votes

Source: Iowa Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+44.32024 HouseR+41.42024 Pres.R+34.22026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Karen VarleyRay Bubba Sorensen
$7.8K
Raised by the campaign
$33.9K
$344
Spent by the campaign
$20.2K

Campaign money: Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board, through May 26, 2026; Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board, through Apr 28, 2026.

Source: Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board campaign filingsUpdated May 26, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Karen Varley
<1%
Ray Bubba Sorensen
>99%
Projected margin
R+29.4
How the forecast works →