Called Nov 3Unofficial results

Missouri's 4th District

U.S. House · Missouri

Mark Alford won re-election by 25.9 points over Jordan Herrera.

Mark AlfordRepublican · winner · incumbent
61.5%154,243
35.6%89,188
Thomas HolbrookLibertarian
2.9%7,289
99% of the expected vote counted · 250,720 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+45.02022 HouseR+44.72024 HouseR+42.72024 Pres.R+25.92026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Jordan HerreraMark Alford
$41.7K
Raised by the campaign
$1.6M
$22.7K
Spent by the campaign
$1.1M
$19.4K
Cash on hand
$757K

Campaign money: FEC, through Jul 15, 2026; FEC, through Oct 14, 2026.

Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Jul 15, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Jordan Herrera
<1%
Mark Alford
>99%
Projected margin
R+34.4
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Mark Alford (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative
Jordan Herrera (D)
Attorney

Also on the ballot: Thomas Holbrook (Libertarian), 2.9%

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Alford.