Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Florida House District 69
Florida House of Representatives · Florida
Ashley Elizabeth Herrmann flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 3.3 points over Daniel Danny Alvarez.
Ashley Elizabeth HerrmannDemocrat · winner
51.7%35,444
Daniel Danny AlvarezRepublican · incumbent
48.3%33,159
68,603 votes
Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Ashley Elizabeth HerrmannDaniel Danny Alvarez
$27.6K
Raised by the campaign
$270.3K
$7.7K
Spent by the campaign
$31.6K
$19.9K
Cash on hand
$238.7K
Campaign money: Florida Division of Elections, through Oct 29, 2026.
Source: Florida Division of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 29, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Ashley Elizabeth Herrmann
- 30%
- Daniel Danny Alvarez
- 70%
- Projected margin
- R+3.8