Within recount rangeUnofficial results

Florida House District 33

Florida House of Representatives · Florida

Daniel R. McDow leads Monique Miller by 0.40 points in the state's complete count, within recount range. The race is not called until the state certifies its results.

Daniel R. McDowDemocrat · leading
50.2%36,430
Monique MillerRepublican · incumbent
49.8%36,141
72,571 votes

Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+11.52022 HouseR+12.22024 HouseR+11.62024 Pres.D+0.42026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Daniel R. McDowMonique Miller
$43.6K
Raised by the campaign
$243.3K
$34.2K
Spent by the campaign
$178.9K
$9.5K
Cash on hand
$64.4K

Campaign money: Florida Division of Elections, through Oct 29, 2026.

Source: Florida Division of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 29, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Daniel R. McDow
19%
Monique Miller
81%
Projected margin
R+6.2
How the forecast works →