Within recount rangeUnofficial results
Florida House District 33
Florida House of Representatives · Florida
Daniel R. McDow leads Monique Miller by 0.40 points in the state's complete count, within recount range. The race is not called until the state certifies its results.
Daniel R. McDowDemocrat · leading
50.2%36,430
Monique MillerRepublican · incumbent
49.8%36,141
72,571 votes
Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Daniel R. McDowMonique Miller
$43.6K
Raised by the campaign
$243.3K
$34.2K
Spent by the campaign
$178.9K
$9.5K
Cash on hand
$64.4K
Campaign money: Florida Division of Elections, through Oct 29, 2026.
Source: Florida Division of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 29, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Daniel R. McDow
- 19%
- Monique Miller
- 81%
- Projected margin
- R+6.2