Florida House District 15
Florida House of Representatives · Florida
Dean Black won re-election by 23.4 points over Chadd Charland.
Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: Florida Division of Elections, through Oct 29, 2026.
Source: Florida Division of Elections campaign filingsUpdated Oct 29, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
No Democrat was on the ballot, so the model gave the seat to Dean Black without simulating it.
How the forecast works →The candidates
Incumbent, Florida House of Representatives, first elected 2022Chadd Charland (NPA)
Also on the ballot: Chadd Charland (Other party), 0.1%