CalledUnofficial results

Connecticut Senate District 15

Connecticut State Senate · Connecticut

Joan Hartley won re-election by 34.9 points over Ruben Rodriguez.

Fusion voting

Joan HartleyDemocrat · winner · incumbent
67.4%13,988
Ruben RodriguezRepublican
32.6%6,755
20,743 votes

Source: Connecticut Secretary of the State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+7.72024 Pres.D+34.92026 Senate

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Joan HartleyRuben Rodriguez
$18.6K
Raised by the campaign
$2K
$8.9K
Spent by the campaign
$1K
$9.7K
Cash on hand
$1K

Campaign money: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission, through Oct 27, 2026; Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission, through Oct 20, 2026.

Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission campaign filingsUpdated Oct 20, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Joan Hartley
99%
Ruben Rodriguez
1%
Projected margin
D+22.8
How the forecast works →