CalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Connecticut House District 31
Connecticut House of Representatives · Connecticut
Moses Carelus held the seat for Democrats, winning by 16.3 points over Jill Barry.
Fusion voting
Moses CarelusDemocrat · winner
58.2%6,444
Jill BarryRepublican · incumbent
41.8%4,637
11,081 votes
Source: Connecticut Secretary of the State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Moses CarelusJill Barry
$62.2K
Raised by the campaign
$47.8K
$54K
Public matching funds
$38.6K
$58.4K
Spent by the campaign
$28.2K
$3.8K
Cash on hand
$19.6K
Campaign money: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission, through Oct 27, 2026; Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission, through Oct 20, 2026.
Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission campaign filingsUpdated Oct 27, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Moses Carelus
- >99%
- Jill Barry
- <1%
- Projected margin
- D+28.4