CalledUnofficial results

California Senate District 34

California State Senate · California

Avelino Valencia held the seat for Democrats, winning by 37.3 points over Rhonda Shader.

Top-two primaryStaggered Senate

Avelino ValenciaDemocrat · winner
68.6%127,029
Rhonda ShaderRepublican
31.4%58,052
185,081 votes

Source: California Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+17.52022 SenateD+16.92024 Pres.D+37.32026 Senate

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

Avelino ValenciaRhonda Shader
$1.6M
Raised by the campaign
$141.8K
$1.1M
Spent by the campaign
$174K
$542.1K
Cash on hand
$11.5K

Campaign money: California Secretary of State (Cal-Access), through Oct 17, 2026.

Source: California Secretary of State (Cal-Access) campaign filingsUpdated Oct 17, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Avelino Valencia
>99%
Rhonda Shader
<1%
Projected margin
D+26.1
How the forecast works →