CalledUnofficial results
California Assembly District 16
California State Assembly · California
Rebecca Bauer-Kahan won re-election by 38.1 points over Joseph Rubay.
Top-two primary
Rebecca Bauer-KahanDemocrat · winner · incumbent
69.0%121,008
Joseph RubayRepublican
31.0%54,258
175,266 votes
Source: California Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Rebecca Bauer-KahanJoseph Rubay
$488.5K
Raised by the campaign
$38.1K
$740.5K
Spent by the campaign
$40.5K
$507.4K
Cash on hand
$20.3K
Campaign money: California Secretary of State (Cal-Access), through Oct 17, 2026.
Source: California Secretary of State (Cal-Access) campaign filingsUpdated Oct 17, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Rebecca Bauer-Kahan
- >99%
- Joseph Rubay
- <1%
- Projected margin
- D+39.0