Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated
Arizona Legislative District 4
Arizona State Senate · Arizona
Aaron Lieberman flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 4.8 points over Carine Werner.
Aaron LiebermanDemocrat · winner
52.4%61,416
Carine WernerRepublican · incumbent
47.5%55,760
Unofficial Write-inOther party
0.1%92
117,268 votes
Source: Arizona Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Aaron LiebermanCarine Werner
$540.9K
Raised by the campaign
$767.1K
$422.8K
Spent by the campaign
$334.9K
$113.5K
Cash on hand
$437.5K
Campaign money: Arizona Secretary of State, through Sep 30, 2026.
Source: Arizona Secretary of State campaign filingsUpdated Sep 30, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Aaron Lieberman
- 58%
- Carine Werner
- 42%
- Projected margin
- D+1.4
The candidates
Aaron Lieberman (D)Carine Werner (R)
Incumbent, Arizona State Senate, first elected 2024
Incumbent, Arizona State Senate, first elected 2024
Also on the ballot: Unofficial Write-in (Other party), 0.1%