Still countingUnofficial results
Arkansas House District 15
Arkansas House of Representatives · Arkansas
Daniel Holtmeyer leads John P. Carr by 7.6 points with 100% of the expected vote counted. The race has not been called.
Simple-majority veto override
Daniel HoltmeyerDemocrat · leading
53.8%4,280
John P. CarrRepublican · incumbent
46.2%3,676
100% of the expected vote counted · 7,956 votes
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Daniel HoltmeyerJohn P. Carr
$59.3K
Raised by the campaign
$17.8K
$46K
Spent by the campaign
$49.9K
$11.6K
Cash on hand
$27.4K
Campaign money: Arkansas Secretary of State, through Oct 24, 2026; Arkansas Secretary of State, through Oct 21, 2026.
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State campaign filingsUpdated Oct 24, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Daniel Holtmeyer
- 47%
- John P. Carr
- 53%
- Projected margin
- R+0.5