Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

Alaska House District 15

Alaska House of Representatives · Alaska

Denny Wells flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 5.0 points over Mia Costello.

Top-four primaryRanked-choice voting

Denny WellsDemocrat · winner
52.5%3,206
Mia CostelloRepublican · incumbent
47.5%2,900
6,106 votes

Source: Alaska Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+6.32022 HouseR+3.32024 HouseR+2.62024 Pres.D+5.02026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.

No DemocratMia Costello
—
Raised by the campaign
$52.1K
—
Spent by the campaign
$35.2K

Campaign money: Alaska Public Offices Commission, through Oct 22, 2026.

Source: Alaska Public Offices Commission campaign filingsUpdated Oct 22, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Denny Wells
75%
Mia Costello
25%
Projected margin
D+4.7
How the forecast works →