2011 special election for New York's 9th District
U.S. House · New York
Robert L. Turner (R) won with 52.5% of the vote, defeating David Weprin (D) by 5.2 points, flipping a seat Democrats held.
Source: Federal Election CommissionUpdated Oct 3, 2026, 3:20 AM ET
The seat over time
D − R margin in this seat's races around 2011
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through Dec 31, 2012.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Dec 31, 2012
Polls against the result
- Poll with Weprin ahead
- Poll with Turner ahead
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Weprin | Turner | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | Sep 10 | 664 | 41 | 47 | R+6 | — | −0.8 | B+ | Wikipedia |
| Siena College | Sep 7 | 886 | 44 | 50 | R+6 | — | −0.8 | A | Wikipedia |
| Magellan Strategies | Sep 1 | 2,055 | 40.4 | 44.6 | R+4.2 | — | +1.0 | B− | Wikipedia |
| McLaughlin & AssociatesR-sponsored | Aug 31 | 300 | 42 | 42 | Even | — | +5.2 | C− | Wikipedia |
| Global Strategy GroupD-sponsored | Aug 30 | 400 | 47 | 39 | D+8 | — | +13.2 | C | Wikipedia |
| Siena College | Aug 5 | 501 | 48 | 42 | D+6 | — | +11.2 | A | Wikipedia |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via FiveThirtyEight poll listsUpdated Sep 10, 2011