2026 forecast · Updated Oct 21, 2026
Polls
1,897 public polls of 2026 races, the generic ballot and Trump approval from 272 pollsters, newest first. Each links to its race, its pollster and its original release. All pollsters and their ratings →
Most active, last 30 days: University of New Hampshire 18 · YouGov 17 · New York Times/Siena College 16 · InsiderAdvantage 15 · Marist College 15 · ActiVote 14 · co/efficient 14 · Trafalgar Group 12 · All 272 pollsters →
Showing New York Times/Siena College. Its page: rating, house effect and record →
| Race | Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Forecast | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 1 · 3 polls | |||||||
| AK Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Peltola 50 · Sullivan 43 | D+7 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 606 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 48 | R+1 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| OH Senate (special) | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 616 LV | Brown 49 · Husted 46 | D+3 | D 69% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 30 · 2 polls | |||||||
| KS Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 22–30 | 605 LV | Hamilton 45 · Marshall 45+1 version | Even | R 56% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| TX Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 21–30 | 615 LV | Talarico 51 · Paxton 45 | D+6 | D 71% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 22 · 3 polls | |||||||
| ME Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 15–22 | 619 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 49 | R+3 | D 68% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| MI Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 15–22 | 605 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 44 | D+5 | D 78% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| NH Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Sep 15–22 | 613 LV | Pappas 50 · Sununu 45 | D+5 | D 96% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Mon, Jun 29 · 1 poll | |||||||
| AK Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–29 | 593 LV | Peltola 45 · Sullivan 47 | R+2 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Sun, Jun 28 · 1 poll | |||||||
| OH Senate (special) | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–28 | 601 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 50 | R+3 | D 69% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Sat, Jun 27 · 3 polls | |||||||
| TX Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 19–27 | 656 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 47 | Even | D 71% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| IA Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–27 | 600 LV | Turek 46 · Hinson 48 | R+2 | D 52% | nytimes.com ↗ |
| NC Senate | New York Times/Siena University★★ | Jun 15–27 | 601 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 43 | D+7 | D 98% | nytimes.com ↗ |
Margin: the poll's lead (D − R; approve − disapprove for approval). Forecast: the race's chance in today's forecast, which averages polls after adjusting for each pollster's house effect and track record. Stars: our pollster rating, three is best. Sponsor: polls paid for by a party or campaign are released selectively, and the forecast adjusts for that.