North Carolina · North Carolina House District 51 · Updated Oct 29, 2026
2026 nominee
Independent nominee for North Carolina House District 51 on November 3, 2026.
Race rating
Margin, 80% of simulated outcomesR+32.0 to R+12.5
R+20EvenD+20
Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).
Race rating
Margin, 80% of simulated outcomesR+31.5 to R+6.5
R+20EvenD+20
Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).
99chambers forecast, updated Oct 29, 2026. No public polls of this race.
Full race forecastApril Montgomery is the Independent nominee for North Carolina House District 51.
The North Carolina official candidate list gives Montgomery's city as Sanford.
Past results, campaign money and links.
| Year | Race | Candidates | Margin | Vote share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | General | John Sauls (R) 64.3% · Ginger Bauerband (D) 35.7% | R+28.6 | |
| 2024 | President | Donald Trump (R) 63.0% · Kamala Harris (D) 37.0% | R+26.0 | |
| 2022 | Generalold lines | John Sauls (R) 65.0% · Malcolm Hall (D) 35.0% | R+30.0 | |
| 2020 | Generalold lines | John Sauls (R) 57.3% · Jason Cain (D) 42.7% | R+14.6 | |
| 2020 | President | Donald Trump (R) 60.9% · Joe Biden (D) 39.1% | R+21.9 | |
| 2016 | President | Donald Trump (R) 60.1% · Hillary Clinton (D) 39.9% | R+20.2 |
Newest first; “old lines” marks a race run on different district boundaries. Sources: MEDSL, Klarner and official canvasses.
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections, through Jun 30, 2026.