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North Carolina · North Carolina Senate District 29 · Updated Oct 29, 2026

2026 nominee

Judy Little

Democratic nominee for North Carolina Senate District 29 against Republican Dave Craven on November 3, 2026.

Democratic

Little’s chance of winning

<1%

Dave Craven (R)

>99%

Little50%Craven

Rating
Solid R
Projected margin
R+28.8
Since Sep 1
0 pts from <1%
Past week
0 pts
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Little <1%Craven >99%

Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).

Little’s chance of winning

<1%

Dave Craven (R)

>99%

Little50%Craven

Rating
Solid R
Projected margin
R+32.0
Since Sep 1
0 pts from <1%
Past week
0 pts
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Little <1%Craven >99%

Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).

99chambers forecast, updated Oct 29, 2026. No public polls of this race.

Full race forecast

Profile · Updated Oct 29, 2026

Judy Little is the Democratic nominee for North Carolina Senate District 29. Little faces Republican Dave Craven on November 3, 2026.

The North Carolina official candidate list gives Little's city as Wadesboro.

Our results archive, matched by name, shows Little losing the 2024 general election for House of Representatives HD-55 with 37.0% of the vote.

01

Head to head

North Carolina Senate District 29: the two nominees side by side.

JL
Judy LittleDemocratic
vs.
DC
Dave CravenRepublican · incumbent
Forecast
<1%
Chance of winning
>99%
<1%
Chance of winning
>99%
Money
—
Raised
$966.8K
—
From individuals
$782.9K
—
Spent
$464K
—
Cash on hand
$887K
Record
No elected office on file
Elected experience
Incumbent

Forecast: 99chambers, updated Oct 29, 2026. Money: North Carolina State Board of Elections, Craven through Jun 30, 2026.

Dave Craven’s page

What the forecast is built from

District lean
R+37.6

The district’s partisan lean from past results.

Fundamentals
R+29.3

Incumbency, money, experience and past results.

Similar seats
R+28.5

Results in districts like this one.

Polls
None

No public polls of this race, so the forecast rests on the other inputs.

Model inputs for this race
Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R)-1.00
Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money)-1.06
Elected-experience edge-0.67
First-term incumbent0.00
Seat's last result vs. expectation+3.05
Incumbent's last result vs. expectation+3.05

Margins: D+ favours the Democrat, R+ the Republican. How it works.

02

Career

Races and milestones, newest first.

  1. 2024Nov 5

    Lost House of Representatives HD-55

    D37.0%

    14,373 votes

Past races are matched by name within North Carolina; name matches can include namesakes, so races are listed only when the first initial matches. Sources: MEDSL, Klarner and official canvasses.

03

The district and the money

Past results, campaign money and links.

Past results in this district

YearRaceCandidatesMarginVote share
2024GeneralDave Craven, Jr. (R) 68.6% · Kevin Clark (D) 31.4%R+37.1
2024PresidentDonald Trump (R) 69.1% · Kamala Harris (D) 30.9%R+38.2
2022Generalold linesDavid Craven Jr (R) 73.0% · Brooke Crump (D) 27.0%R+46.1
2020Generalold linesSteve Jarvis (R) 74.5% · Duskin Lassiter (D) 25.5%R+48.9
2020PresidentDonald Trump (R) 67.9% · Joe Biden (D) 32.1%R+35.8
2016PresidentDonald Trump (R) 66.2% · Hillary Clinton (D) 33.8%R+32.5

Newest first; “old lines” marks a race run on different district boundaries. Sources: MEDSL, Klarner and official canvasses.