Democratic
North Carolina › North Carolina State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
North Carolina State Senate District 24
Britt is clearly favored to win: Britt wins in 7 of every 8 simulations.
Hamm (D)
13%
chance of winning
Britt (R)
87%
- Average margin
- R+8.2
- 80% of outcomes
- R+18 to D+2
- Partisan lean
- R+13
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Britt is favored to win: Britt wins in about 4 of every 5 simulations.
Hamm (D)
22%
chance of winning
Britt (R)
78%
- Average margin
- R+7.2
- 80% of outcomes
- R+20 to D+6
- Partisan lean
- R+13
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
RepublicanIncumbent
Danny Britt
- Experience
- State legislature
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- North Carolina state offices
- +0.0Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+9.5Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Southeast adjustment
- −1.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.53 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -1.57 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -1.57 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+13: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 204,327
- People per km²
- 47
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 17%
- White, no degree
- 26%of adults
- White 29%
- Hispanic 11%
- Black 28%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 31%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
80,925 votes · R+17.5✓ Danny Earl Britt, Jr. (R)58.7%
Kathy Batt (D)41.3%
2024 President Vote in this district
83,339 two-party votes · R+15.1 · R+13.6 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)57.5%
Kamala Harris (D)42.5%
2022 Earlier district lines
49,312 votes · R+16.6✓ Danny Earl Britt Jr (R)58.3%
Darrel Gibson Jr (D)41.7%
2020 Earlier district lines
233,821 votes · R+4.9✓ Amy S Galey (R)52.4%
J D Wooten (D)47.6%
2020 President Vote in this district
90,589 two-party votes · R+8.1 · R+12.6 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)54.0%
Joe Biden (D)46.0%
2016 President Vote in this district
74,356 two-party votes · D+3.6 · D+1.4 vs. the nation✓ Hillary Clinton (D)51.8%
Donald Trump (R)48.2%