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North Carolina · North Carolina House District 83 · Updated Oct 29, 2026

2026 nominee

Johnnie Jones

Democratic nominee for North Carolina House District 83 against Republican Grant Campbell on November 3, 2026.

Democratic

Jones’s chance of winning

<1%

Grant Campbell (R)

>99%

Jones50%Campbell

Rating
Solid R
Projected margin
R+22.4
Since Sep 1
0 pts from <1%
Past week
0 pts
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Jones <1%Campbell >99%

Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).

Jones’s chance of winning

1%

Grant Campbell (R)

99%

Jones50%Campbell

Rating
Solid R
Projected margin
R+24.4
Since Sep 1
0 pts from 1%
Past week
0 pts
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Jones 1%Campbell 99%

Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).

99chambers forecast, updated Oct 29, 2026. No public polls of this race.

Full race forecast

Profile · Updated Oct 29, 2026

Johnnie Jones is the Democratic nominee for North Carolina House District 83. Jones faces Republican Grant Campbell on November 3, 2026.

The North Carolina official candidate list gives Jones's city as Davidson.

Our results archive, matched by name, shows Jones losing the 2002 general election for State Senate SD-34 with 2.7% of the vote.

01

Head to head

North Carolina House District 83: the two nominees side by side.

JJ
Johnnie JonesDemocratic
vs.
GC
Grant CampbellRepublican · incumbent
Forecast
<1%
Chance of winning
>99%
1%
Chance of winning
99%
Money
—
Raised
$204.2K
—
From individuals
$84.6K
—
Spent
$180.2K
—
Cash on hand
$38.8K
Record
No elected office on file
Elected experience
Incumbent

Forecast: 99chambers, updated Oct 29, 2026. Money: North Carolina State Board of Elections, Campbell through Jun 30, 2026.

Grant Campbell’s page

What the forecast is built from

District lean
R+30.5

The district’s partisan lean from past results.

Fundamentals
R+23.0

Incumbency, money, experience and past results.

Similar seats
R+22.1

Results in districts like this one.

Polls
None

No public polls of this race, so the forecast rests on the other inputs.

Model inputs for this race
Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R)-1.00
Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money)-0.91
Elected-experience edge-0.67
First-term incumbent0.00
Seat's last result vs. expectation+1.72
Incumbent's last result vs. expectation+1.72

Margins: D+ favours the Democrat, R+ the Republican. How it works.

02

Career

Races and milestones, newest first.

  1. 2002Nov 5

    Lost State Senate SD-34

    L2.7%

    1,290 votes

Past races are matched by name within North Carolina; name matches can include namesakes, so races are listed only when the first initial matches. Sources: MEDSL, Klarner and official canvasses.

03

The district and the money

Past results, campaign money and links.

Past results in this district

YearRaceCandidatesMarginVote share
2024GeneralGrant Campbell (R) 65.7% · Joanne Chesley (D) 34.3%R+31.4
2024PresidentDonald Trump (R) 65.8% · Kamala Harris (D) 34.2%R+31.6
2022Generalold linesKevin Crutchfield (R) 100.0%Uncontested
2020Generalold linesLarry G Pittman (R) 51.3% · Gail Young (D) 48.7%R+2.5
2020PresidentDonald Trump (R) 63.6% · Joe Biden (D) 36.4%R+27.2
2016PresidentDonald Trump (R) 68.0% · Hillary Clinton (D) 32.0%R+36.0

Newest first; “old lines” marks a race run on different district boundaries. Sources: MEDSL, Klarner and official canvasses.