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North Carolina · North Carolina House District 27 · Updated Oct 29, 2026

2026 nominee

David Woodson

Republican nominee for North Carolina House District 27 against Democratic Rodney D. Pierce on November 3, 2026.

Republican

Woodson’s chance of winning

<1%

Rodney D. Pierce (D)

>99%

Woodson50%Pierce

Rating
Solid D
Projected margin
D+31.8
Since Sep 1
0 pts from <1%
Past week
0 pts
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Pierce >99%Woodson <1%

Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).

Woodson’s chance of winning

1%

Rodney D. Pierce (D)

99%

Woodson50%Pierce

Rating
Solid D
Projected margin
D+24.6
Since Sep 1
0 pts from 2%
Past week
0 pts
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Pierce 99%Woodson 1%

Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).

99chambers forecast, updated Oct 29, 2026. No public polls of this race.

Full race forecast

Profile · Updated Oct 29, 2026

David Woodson is the Republican nominee for North Carolina House District 27. Woodson faces Democrat Rodney D. Pierce on November 3, 2026.

The North Carolina official candidate list gives Woodson's city as Warrenton.

Our results archive, matched by name, shows Woodson losing the 2020 general election for House of Representatives HD-32 with 38.8% of the vote.

01

Head to head

North Carolina House District 27: the two nominees side by side.

DW
David WoodsonRepublican
vs.
RD
Rodney D. PierceDemocratic · incumbent
Forecast
<1%
Chance of winning
>99%
1%
Chance of winning
99%
Money
—
Raised
$300.5K
—
From individuals
$268K
—
Spent
$256.1K
—
Cash on hand
$40.6K
Record
No elected office on file
Elected experience
Incumbent

Forecast: 99chambers, updated Oct 29, 2026. Money: North Carolina State Board of Elections, Pierce through Jun 30, 2026.

Rodney D. Pierce’s page

What the forecast is built from

District lean
D+18.7

The district’s partisan lean from past results.

Fundamentals
D+31.0

Incumbency, money, experience and past results.

Similar seats
D+31.9

Results in districts like this one.

Polls
None

No public polls of this race, so the forecast rests on the other inputs.

Model inputs for this race
Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R)+1.00
Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money)+1.35
Elected-experience edge+0.67
First-term incumbent0.00
Seat's last result vs. expectation+30.00
Incumbent's last result vs. expectation+40.00

Margins: D+ favours the Democrat, R+ the Republican. How it works.

02

Career

Races and milestones, newest first.

  1. 2020Nov 3

    Lost House of Representatives HD-32

    R38.8%

    30,555 votes

Past races are matched by name within North Carolina; name matches can include namesakes, so races are listed only when the first initial matches. Sources: MEDSL, Klarner and official canvasses.

03

The district and the money

Past results, campaign money and links.

Past results in this district

YearRaceCandidatesMarginVote share
2024GeneralRodney D. Pierce (D) 100.0%Uncontested
2024PresidentKamala Harris (D) 58.6% · Donald Trump (R) 41.4%D+17.2
2022Generalold linesMichael H Wray (D) 61.4% · Wes Tripp (R) 38.6%D+22.9
2020Generalold linesMichael H Wray (D) 66.8% · Warren Scott Nail (R) 33.2%D+33.6
2020PresidentJoe Biden (D) 61.7% · Donald Trump (R) 38.3%D+23.4
2016PresidentHillary Clinton (D) 64.2% · Donald Trump (R) 35.8%D+28.3

Newest first; “old lines” marks a race run on different district boundaries. Sources: MEDSL, Klarner and official canvasses.