99chambers
?

North Carolina · North Carolina House District 113 · Updated Oct 29, 2026

2026 nominee

John Morgan

Democratic nominee for North Carolina House District 113 against Republican Jake Johnson on November 3, 2026.

Democratic

Morgan’s chance of winning

<1%

Jake Johnson (R)

>99%

Morgan50%Johnson

Rating
Solid R
Projected margin
R+23.2
Since Sep 1
0 pts from <1%
Past week
0 pts
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Morgan <1%Johnson >99%

Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).

Morgan’s chance of winning

1%

Jake Johnson (R)

99%

Morgan50%Johnson

Rating
Solid R
Projected margin
R+25.1
Since Sep 1
0 pts from 1%
Past week
0 pts
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Morgan 1%Johnson 99%

Updated nightly. Each day is the forecast as it ran that day (how).

99chambers forecast, updated Oct 29, 2026. No public polls of this race.

Full race forecast

Profile · Updated Oct 29, 2026

John Morgan is the Democratic nominee for North Carolina House District 113. Morgan faces Republican Jake Johnson on November 3, 2026.

The North Carolina official candidate list gives Morgan's city as Saluda.

01

Head to head

North Carolina House District 113: the two nominees side by side.

JM
John MorganDemocratic
vs.
JJ
Jake JohnsonRepublican · incumbent
Forecast
<1%
Chance of winning
>99%
1%
Chance of winning
99%
Money
$2.4K
Raised
—
$855
From individuals
—
$39
Spent
—
$2.4K
Cash on hand
—
Record
No elected office on file
Elected experience
Incumbent

Forecast: 99chambers, updated Oct 29, 2026. Money: North Carolina State Board of Elections, Morgan through Jun 30, 2026.

Jake Johnson’s page

What the forecast is built from

District lean
R+31.9

The district’s partisan lean from past results.

Fundamentals
R+24.3

Incumbency, money, experience and past results.

Similar seats
R+22.6

Results in districts like this one.

Polls
None

No public polls of this race, so the forecast rests on the other inputs.

Model inputs for this race
Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R)-1.00
Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money)-0.95
Elected-experience edge-0.67
First-term incumbent0.00
Seat's last result vs. expectation+1.08
Incumbent's last result vs. expectation+1.08

Margins: D+ favours the Democrat, R+ the Republican. How it works.

02

The district and the money

Past results, campaign money and links.

Past results in this district

YearRaceCandidatesMarginVote share
2024GeneralJake Johnson (R) 66.7% · Michelle Antalec (D) 33.3%R+33.4
2024PresidentDonald Trump (R) 65.9% · Kamala Harris (D) 34.1%R+31.7
2022Generalold linesJake Johnson (R) 100.0%Uncontested
2020Generalold linesJake Johnson (R) 59.6% · Sam Edney (D) 40.4%R+19.1
2020PresidentDonald Trump (R) 66.1% · Joe Biden (D) 33.9%R+32.3
2016PresidentDonald Trump (R) 68.8% · Hillary Clinton (D) 31.2%R+37.6

Newest first; “old lines” marks a race run on different district boundaries. Sources: MEDSL, Klarner and official canvasses.

Where Morgan’s money came from

Raised
$2.4K
From individuals
$855 (36%)
Cash on hand
$2.4K

Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections, through Jun 30, 2026.