Pollsters · Updated Oct 23, 2026
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research
6 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 2 races. Latest: Oct 9, 2026.
- Polls
- 66 in 2 races
- Grade
- C+Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)
- House effect, 2026
- R+3.5Against other polls, in today's forecast
- House effect, past elections
- EvenAgainst other polls of the same races
Based on 2 polls of 2 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2022: they missed the final margin by 10.4 points on average, 0.6 points more than other polls of the same races.
Its polls run 3.5 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Florida (special) | Oct 1–Oct 9 | 716 LV | Nixon 41 · Moody 52 | R+11 | stetson.edu ↗ |
| Florida Governor | Oct 1–Oct 9 | 716 LV | Jolly 41 · Donalds 52 | R+11 | stetson.edu ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Florida (special) | Sep 14–Sep 21 | 830 LV | Nixon 40 · Moody 51 | R+11 | stetson.edu ↗ |
| Florida Governor | Sep 14–Sep 21 | 830 LV | Jolly 39 · Donalds 51 | R+12 | stetson.edu ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Florida (special) | Mar 25–Apr 13 | 414 LV | Nixon 38 · Moody 51 | R+13 | www2.stetson.edu ↗ |
| Florida Governor | Mar 25–Apr 13 | 848 LV | Jolly 40 · Donalds 47 | R+7 | www2.stetson.edu ↗ |