Pollsters · Updated Oct 23, 2026
OnMessage Inc.
3 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 3 races. Latest: Oct 14, 2026.
- Polls
- 33 in 3 races
- Grade
- A−Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)
- House effect, 2026
- R+4.3Against other polls, in today's forecast
- House effect, past elections
- R+2.8Against other polls of the same races
- Sponsorship
- RMost of its polls were paid for by a Republican party or campaign
Based on 20 polls of 18 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2008 to 2024: they missed the final margin by 4.5 points on average, 0.4 points less than other polls of the same races.
Its polls run 4.3 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
In past elections its polls ran 2.8 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Governor for Saritha Komatireddy's campaignR-sponsored | Oct 12–Oct 14 | 1,000 LV | Hochul 50.3 · Blakeman 45.9 | D+4.4 | nypost.com ↗ |
| New York Attorney General for Komatireddy's campaignR-sponsored | Oct 12–Oct 14 | 1,000 LV | James 51 · Komatireddy 45 | D+6 | vinnews.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) for Insurance Watchdog Coalition | Mar 3–Mar 8 | 600 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 45 | D+2 | politico.com ↗ |