Pollsters · Updated Nov 1, 2026
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group
2 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 2 races. Latest: Oct 28, 2026.
- Polls
- 22 in 2 races
- Grade
- DAccuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)
- House effect, 2026
- D+0.9Against other polls, in today's forecast
- House effect, past elections
- D+1.1Against other polls of the same races
Based on 12 polls of 7 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2018 to 2022: they missed the final margin by 9.5 points on average, 1.9 points more than other polls of the same races.
Its polls run 0.9 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
In past elections its polls ran 1.1 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Florida (special) | Oct 26–Oct 28 | 500 LV | Nixon 35.8 · Moody 41.8 | R+6 | palafoxproductions.com ↗ |
| Florida Governor | Oct 26–Oct 28 | 500 LV | Jolly 38.8 · Donalds 40.3 | R+1.5 | palafoxproductions.com ↗ |