Pollsters · Updated Oct 23, 2026
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research
2 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 2 races. Latest: Feb 22, 2026.
- Polls
- 22 in 2 races
- Grade
- C+Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)
- House effect, 2026
- R+1.4Against other polls, in today's forecast
- House effect, past elections
- R+0.1Against other polls of the same races
Based on 5 polls of 5 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2018 to 2022: they missed the final margin by 5.2 points on average, 0.5 points more than other polls of the same races.
Its polls run 1.4 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
In past elections its polls ran 0.1 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Governor | Feb 13–Feb 22 | 1,117 RV | Hinojosa 41 · Abbott 49 | R+8 | uttyler.edu ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Sep 17–Sep 24 | 1,032 RV | Talarico 37 · Paxton 38 | R+1 | uttyler.edu ↗ |