Pollsters · Updated Oct 23, 2026
Ipsos
66 public polls in the 2026 cycle of the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Oct 19, 2026.
- Polls
- 660 in 0 races · 66 generic ballot
- Grade
- B+Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)
- House effect, 2026
- R+0.6Against other polls, in today's forecast
- House effect, past elections
- D+0.3Against other polls of the same races
Based on 184 polls of 109 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2002 to 2022: they missed the final margin by 5.0 points on average, 0.1 points less than other polls of the same races.
Its polls run 0.6 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
In past elections its polls ran 0.3 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16–Oct 19 for Reuters | 1,279 RV | 47 | 35 | D+12 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Oct 16–Oct 19 for Reuters | 1,679 A | 40 | 29 | D+11 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Oct 9–Oct 13 for ABC News, The Washington Post | 2,032 LV | 52 | 44 | D+8 | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Oct 9–Oct 13 for ABC News, The Washington Post | 2,032 RV | 50 | 42 | D+8 | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Sep 30–Oct 5 for Reuters | 3,526 RV | 44 | 37 | D+7 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 30–Oct 5 for Reuters | 4,506 A | 37 | 30 | D+7 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 17–Sep 20 for Reuters | 979 RV | 43 | 35 | D+8 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 17–Sep 20 for Reuters | 1,277 A | 37 | 29 | D+8 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 11–Sep 14 for Reuters | 896 RV | 44 | 37 | D+7 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Sep 11–Sep 14 for Reuters | 1,143 A | 39 | 31 | D+8 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Aug 28–Aug 31 for Reuters | 924 RV | 43 | 38 | D+5 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Aug 28–Aug 31 for Reuters | 1,167 A | 38 | 31 | D+7 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Aug 21–Aug 24 for Reuters | 951 RV | 41 | 35 | D+6 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Aug 21–Aug 24 for Reuters | 1,215 A | 35 | 29 | D+6 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Aug 14–Aug 17 for Reuters | 876 RV | 41 | 36 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Aug 14–Aug 17 for Reuters | 1,166 A | 35 | 30 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jul 29–Aug 3 for Reuters | 3,542 RV | 42 | 37 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jul 29–Aug 3 for Reuters | 4,505 A | 36 | 30 | D+6 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jul 24–Jul 26 for Reuters | 1,003 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Jul 24–Jul 26 for Reuters | 1,248 A | 36 | 32 | D+4 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Jul 8–Jul 13 for The Washington Post | 2,092 RV | 48 | 45 | D+3 | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Jun 18–Jun 22 for Reuters | 978 RV | 41 | 36 | D+5 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Jun 18–Jun 22 for Reuters | 1,262 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Jun 12–Jun 15 for Reuters | 1,195 RV | 41 | 38 | D+3 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jun 3–Jun 8 for Reuters | 3,578 RV | 41 | 37 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| May 15–May 18 for Reuters | 1,271 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| May 8–May 11 for Reuters | 993 RV | 41 | 35 | D+6 | reuters.com ↗ |
| May 8–May 11 for Reuters | 1,254 A | 36 | 31 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Apr 24–Apr 28 for ABC News, The Washington Post | 2,059 RV | 49 | 44 | D+5 | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Apr 24–Apr 27 for Reuters | 1,014 RV | 41 | 37 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Apr 24–Apr 27 for Reuters | 1,269 A | 36 | 31 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Apr 15–Apr 20 for Reuters | 3,577 RV | 41 | 38 | D+3 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Apr 15–Apr 20 for Reuters | 4,557 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Mar 20–Mar 23 for Reuters | 985 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Mar 20–Mar 23 for Reuters | 1,272 A | 35 | 31 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Mar 17–Mar 19 for Reuters | 1,206 RV | 40 | 37 | D+3 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Mar 17–Mar 19 for Reuters | 1,545 A | 35 | 32 | D+3 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Feb 18–Feb 23 for Reuters | 3,686 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Feb 18–Feb 23 for Reuters | 4,638 A | 35 | 32 | D+3 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Feb 12–Feb 17 for ABC News, The Washington Post | 2,087 RV | 47 | 45 | D+2 | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Feb 12–Feb 17 for ABC News, The Washington Post | 2,589 A | 43 | 39 | D+4 | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Feb 13–Feb 16 for Reuters | 846 RV | 41 | 37 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jan 23–Jan 25 for Reuters | 906 RV | 41 | 37 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jan 12–Jan 13 for Reuters | 941 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Dec 12–Dec 15 for Reuters | 775 RV | 40 | 36 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Dec 3–Dec 8 for Reuters | 3,521 RV | 40 | 39 | D+1 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Dec 3–Dec 8 for Reuters | 4,434 A | 35 | 33 | D+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Nov 14–Nov 17 for Reuters | 818 RV | 38 | 36 | D+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Nov 7–Nov 12 for Reuters | 938 RV | 41 | 40 | D+1 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Oct 24–Oct 28 for ABC News, The Washington Post | 2,203 RV | 46 | 44 | D+2 | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Oct 24–Oct 28 for ABC News, The Washington Post | 2,725 A | 42 | 39 | D+3 | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Oct 24–Oct 26 for Reuters | 805 RV | 39 | 39 | Even | reuters.com ↗ |
| Oct 15–Oct 20 for Reuters | 3,439 RV | 41 | 38 | D+3 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Oct 3–Oct 7 for Reuters | 864 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Sep 19–Sep 21 for Reuters | 799 RV | 36 | 39 | R+3 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Aug 22–Aug 24 for Reuters | 895 RV | 42 | 37 | D+5 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Aug 22–Aug 24 for Reuters | 1,022 A | 38 | 34 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Aug 13–Aug 18 for Reuters | 3,516 RV | 40 | 39 | D+1 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jul 25–Jul 27 for Reuters | 884 RV | 40 | 36 | D+4 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Jun 20–Jun 23 for Reuters | 994 RV | 40 | 38 | D+2 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Jun 11–Jun 16 for Reuters | 3,458 RV | 40 | 39 | D+1 | reuters.com ↗ |
| May 16–May 18 for Reuters | 885 RV | 40 | 39 | D+1 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Apr 25–Apr 27 for Reuters | 897 RV | 38 | 38 | Even | reuters.com ↗ |
| Mar 21–Mar 23 for Reuters | 911 RV | 38 | 40 | R+2 | reuters.com ↗ |
| Feb 21–Feb 23 for Reuters | 891 RV | 38 | 40 | R+2 | ipsos.com ↗ |
| Jan 24–Jan 26 for Reuters | 902 RV | 35 | 37 | R+2 | reuters.com ↗ |