Georgia · 2026 forecast · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Who will control the Georgia House of Representatives?

All 180 seats are on the ballot. 91 seats make a majority. 120 make the two-thirds supermajority that can override a veto.

Republicans are clearly favored to control the Georgia House of Representatives (80%).

Democrats

20%

chance of control

Republicans

80%

Avg. D seats: 87.080% range 82–93
Avg. R seats: 93.080% range 87–98
Now: 81 D · 99 R180 up this year

Neither party has a meaningful chance of a two-thirds supermajority (120+ seats): under 1% each.

Republicans are favored to control the Georgia House of Representatives (62%).

Democrats

38%

chance of control

Republicans

62%

Avg. D seats: 89.380% range 83–96
Avg. R seats: 90.780% range 84–97
Now: 81 D · 99 R180 up this year

Neither party has a meaningful chance of a two-thirds supermajority (120+ seats): under 1% each.

Solid D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Solid R

Race ratings

All 180 races, grouped by the leader's chance of winning.

4 seats projected to flip: 4 R→D. 4 more are toss-ups that could change parties (flip risk).

7 seats projected to flip: 6 R→D, 1 D→R. 5 more are toss-ups that could change parties (flip risk).

Likely D4

Lean D1

HD-48flip

Toss-up4

Lean R5

Likely R8

Likely D7

Lean D3

Toss-up5

Lean R7

Likely R13

Columns follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. The square shows who holds the seat now (■ Democrats, ■ Republicans). flip: projected to change parties, in the color of the party favored to gain it. risk: a toss-up (40–60%) that could change parties. Underlined: two candidates of one party in November. Faded: no major-party opponent.

The map

Each district colored by the leader's chance of winning. Hover for details; click for the race.

Georgia

Atlanta

Solid D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Solid R
Projected flip (stripes: party holding it now)

Seats to watch

The closest races (Lean or Toss-up, Horizon), and the seats most likely to change parties.

Closest races

HD-128Tyrone EvansTrey SheppardFlip riskFlip riskRunoff 21%51%Dem.55%Dem. HD-45Michelle SchreinerSharon CooperFlip riskD flipRunoff 21%51%Dem.62%Dem. HD-49Teresa LinChuck MartinFlip riskFlip riskRunoff 21%55%Rep.55%Dem. HD-121Eric GislerMack GuestFlip riskR flipRunoff 21%58%Dem.65%Rep. HD-44Danielle BellDon ParsonsFlip riskRunoff 21%62%Rep.60%Rep. HD-154Harry JamesGerald GreeneD flipRunoff 17%63%Rep.73%Dem. HD-34Titus NicholsDevan SeabaughRunoff 20%68%Rep.60%Rep. HD-48Adam ClevelandScott HiltonD flipD flipRunoff 18%72%Dem.82%Dem. HD-46Dumont WalkerJohn CarsonFlip riskRunoff 17%74%Rep.59%Rep. HD-147Renita DuncanBethany BallardRunoff 15%80%Rep.63%Rep.

Most likely to flip

HD-53Beth FullerDeborah SilcoxD flipD flipRunoff 9%90%to flip91%to flip HD-99Michelle KangMatt ReevesD flipD flipRunoff 13%84%to flip87%to flip HD-105Farooq MughalSandy DonatucciD flipD flipRunoff 14%82%to flip77%to flip HD-48Adam ClevelandScott HiltonD flipD flipRunoff 18%72%to flip82%to flip HD-45Michelle SchreinerSharon CooperFlip riskD flipRunoff 21%51%to flip62%to flip HD-128Tyrone EvansTrey SheppardFlip riskFlip riskRunoff 21%49%to flip45%to flip HD-49Teresa LinChuck MartinFlip riskFlip riskRunoff 21%45%to flip55%to flip HD-121Eric GislerMack GuestFlip riskR flipRunoff 21%42%to flip65%to flip HD-44Danielle BellDon ParsonsFlip riskRunoff 21%38%to flip40%to flip HD-154Harry JamesGerald GreeneD flipRunoff 17%37%to flip73%to flip

How this chamber is elected

Rules that shape these races and the forecast.

Runoff if no majority

A candidate needs more than half the vote in November. Otherwise the top two meet in a runoff on December 1, 2026. The forecast shows the chance that a race goes to a runoff.

How the odds have moved

Chance of winning control, by forecast date.

Updated nightly. Each day is the current model run on the polls that had ended by then (how).

Every outcome we simulated

Democratic seats across 40,000 simulations. Darker bars: the middle 80%.

Every race

180 races, 61 without a contest between the major parties.

180 races

District	Candidates	Chance of winning (D · R)	Avg. margin	Rating	Lean	Polls
HD-1	● Steven Disbrow● Mike CameronINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+46.1R+53.9	Solid RSolid R	R+58	—
HD-2	● Whitney Echenique● Steve TarvinINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+49.6R+58.1	Solid RSolid R	R+62	—
HD-3	● Margaret Spear● Mitchell HornerINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+44.6R+50.0	Solid RSolid R	R+55	—
HD-4Runoff <1%	● Quentin Postell● Kasey CarpenterINC	1%99% 3%97%	R+22.3R+21.2	Solid RSolid R	R+27	—
HD-5	● Ramsus Jensen● Matt BartonINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+49.5R+59.2	Solid RSolid R	R+63	—
HD-6	● Cathy Kott● Jason RidleyINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+55.1R+64.8	Solid RSolid R	R+69	—
HD-7	● No Democrat● Johnny ChastainINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+64	—
HD-8	● Nick Mitchell● Stan GunterINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+53.9R+60.4	Solid RSolid R	R+64	—
HD-9	● Roger Smith● Chris Dockery	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+50.6R+60.9	Solid RSolid R	R+65	—
HD-10	● John Brown● Victor AndersonINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+49.1R+59.3	Solid RSolid R	R+63	—
HD-11	● Ryan Fountain● Rick JasperseINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+49.7R+57.1	Solid RSolid R	R+62	—
HD-12	● Holly Chaney● Eddie LumsdenINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+45.5R+52.1	Solid RSolid R	R+56	—
HD-13	● Vincent Mendes● Katie DempseyINC	<1%>99% 1%99%	R+24.0R+27.0	Solid RSolid R	R+32	—
HD-14	● Bella Bautista● Mitchell ScogginsINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+46.5R+54.7	Solid RSolid R	R+59	—
HD-15	● Lauren Jones● Matthew GambillINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+37.8R+41.2	Solid RSolid R	R+46	—
HD-16	● Diana Spangler● Trey KelleyINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+46.4R+51.2	Solid RSolid R	R+55	—
HD-17	● Tamyko Green● Martin MomtahanINC	<1%>99% 2%98%	R+26.3R+23.2	Solid RSolid R	R+27	—
HD-18	● Pat Rhudy● Tyler SmithINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+53.8R+62.5	Solid RSolid R	R+66	—
HD-19Runoff 8%	● Cynthia Starke-Jones● Joseph GullettINC	9%91% 21%79%	R+10.1R+7.9	Likely RLean R	R+12	—
HD-20	● Jason Tanner● Charlice ByrdINC	<1%>99% 1%99%	R+28.8R+27.0	Solid RSolid R	R+33	—
HD-21	● Anthony Aragues● Brad ThomasINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+33.5R+37.9	Solid RSolid R	R+43	—
HD-22Runoff 5%	● James Shade● Jordan RidleyINC	5%95% 12%88%	R+12.7R+11.3	Solid RLikely R	R+17	—
HD-23	● Rob Epstein● Bill FincherINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+36.6R+42.4	Solid RSolid R	R+48	—
HD-24Runoff <1%	● Maureen Gault● Carter BarrettINC	1%99% 2%98%	R+21.6R+21.5	Solid RSolid R	R+28	—
HD-25Runoff 10%	● Elaine Padgett● Todd JonesINC	13%87% 27%73%	R+8.8R+6.1	Likely RLean R	R+12	—
HD-26	● Meredith Greene● Lauren McDonaldINC	<1%>99% 1%99%	R+22.0R+25.9	Solid RSolid R	R+32	—
HD-27	● Jay Kirkland● Lee HawkinsINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+51.9R+58.4	Solid RSolid R	R+63	—
HD-28	● Mateo Sanabria● Brent CoxINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+41.5R+46.1	Solid RSolid R	R+51	—
HD-29Runoff 2%	● Scott Soracco● Matt DubnikINC	3%97% 13%87%	R+18.4R+11.5	Solid RLikely R	R+17	—
HD-30	● Braden Doxey● Derrick McCollumINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+33.7R+36.7	Solid RSolid R	R+42	—
HD-31	● No Democrat● Chad Bingham	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+51	—
HD-32	● Rebecca Sims● Chris ErwinINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+53.2R+63.2	Solid RSolid R	R+67	—
HD-33	● No Democrat● Alan PowellINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+64	—
HD-34Runoff 20%	● Titus Nichols● Devan SeabaughINC	32%68% 40%60%	R+3.5R+2.4	Lean RLean R	R+9	—
HD-35	● Lisa CampbellINC● Elivs Casely	>99%<1% 99%1%	D+27.4D+24.3	Solid DSolid D	D+19	—
HD-36Runoff 2%	● Luc Noiset● Ginny EhrhartINC	3%97% 11%89%	R+16.3R+12.0	Solid RLikely R	R+18	—
HD-37	● Mary Frances WilliamsINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+19	—
HD-38	● David WilkersonINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+46	—
HD-39	● Terry CummingsINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+57	—
HD-40Runoff 5%	● Elisa Lassiter● Kimberly NewINC	5%95% 11%89%	R+12.4R+12.1	Likely RLikely R	R+16	—
HD-41	● Michael SmithINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+41	—
HD-42	● Gabriel SanchezINC● André Stafford	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+40.2D+40.8	Solid DSolid D	D+35	—
HD-43	● Solomon AdesanyaINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+25	—
HD-44Flip riskRunoff 21%	● Danielle Bell● Don ParsonsINC	38%62% 40%60%	R+2.2R+2.3	Lean RToss-up	R+9	—
HD-45Flip riskD flipRunoff 21%	● Michelle Schreiner● Sharon CooperINC	51%49% 62%38%	D+0.3D+3.1	Toss-upLean D	R+3	—
HD-46Flip riskRunoff 17%	● Dumont Walker● John CarsonINC	26%74% 41%59%	R+4.9R+2.2	Lean RToss-up	R+9	—
HD-47Runoff 15%	● Lindsay Defranco● Jack MillerAlso: Brian Cochran (R)	20%80% 26%74%	R+6.5R+6.3	Likely RLean R	R+14	—
HD-48D flipD flipRunoff 18%	● Adam Cleveland● Scott HiltonINC	72%28% 82%18%	D+4.6D+8.9	Lean DLikely D	D+2	—
HD-49Flip riskFlip riskRunoff 21%	● Teresa Lin● Chuck MartinINC	45%55% 55%45%	R+1.0D+1.2	Toss-upToss-up	R+6	—
HD-50	● Michelle AuINC● Azure Duan	99%1% 97%3%	D+22.8D+20.7	Solid DSolid D	D+15	—
HD-51	● Esther PanitchINC● Keith Gettmann	>99%<1% 99%1%	D+28.8D+26.3	Solid DSolid D	D+20	—
HD-52	● Shea RobertsINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+27	—
HD-53D flipD flipRunoff 9%	● Beth Fuller● Deborah SilcoxINC	90%10% 91%9%	D+10.1D+14.1	Likely DLikely D	D+8	—
HD-54	● Betsy HollandINC● Greg Miller	>99%<1% 99%1%	D+30.2D+29.9	Solid DSolid D	D+24	—
HD-55	● Inga WillisINC● Samuel Lenaeus	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+60.2D+65.9	Solid DSolid D	D+61	—
HD-56	● Bryce BerryINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+79	—
HD-57	● Stacey EvansINC● Helmut Lucero LoveAlso: Samuel Lenaeus (R)	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+63.8D+66.7	Solid DSolid D	D+62	—
HD-58	● Demetria Henderson● Torrey BalamAlso: Matthewos Samson (D)	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+70.4D+83.3	Solid DSolid D	D+79	—
HD-59	● Phil OlaleyeINC● Devanta "Sully" Sullivan	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+79.0D+88.5	Solid DSolid D	D+85	—
HD-60	● Sheila JonesINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+49	—
HD-61	● Mekyah McQueenINC● Damita Bishop	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+58.2D+62.5	Solid DSolid D	D+58	—
HD-62D vs D	● Kenn Collier● No RepublicanAlso: Kavon Arnold (D)	Democrats only in NovemberDemocrats only in November	—	Solid D (D vs D)Solid D (D vs D)	D+84	—
HD-63	● Kim SchofieldINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+80	—
HD-64	● Sylvia Wayfer BakerINC● Lydia Parchue	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+40.5D+42.2	Solid DSolid D	D+38	—
HD-65	● Robert DawsonINC● Gordon Rolle	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+52.5D+54.4	Solid DSolid D	D+50	—
HD-66	● Kimberly AlexanderINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+43	—
HD-67	● Lydia GlaizeINC● Daniel Cook	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+36.9D+37.3	Solid DSolid D	D+33	—
HD-68D vs D	● Mark Baker● No RepublicanAlso: Timoria McQueen Saba (D)	Democrats only in NovemberDemocrats only in November	—	Solid D (D vs D)Solid D (D vs D)	D+31	—
HD-69	● Debra BazemoreINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+50	—
HD-70Runoff 2%	● Diane Boulai● Melissa Stuckey	1%99% 4%96%	R+17.4R+17.8	Solid RSolid R	R+22	—
HD-71	● Anna Higgins● Justin HowardINC	<1%>99% 1%99%	R+26.7R+28.7	Solid RSolid R	R+33	—
HD-72	● No Democrat● David HuddlestonINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+46	—
HD-73Runoff 1%	● Tim Wilkinson● Josh BonnerINC	1%99% 3%97%	R+20.0R+20.2	Solid RSolid R	R+26	—
HD-74	● Robert FlournoyINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+54	—
HD-75	● Eric Bell IIINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+72	—
HD-76	● Sandra ScottINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+68	—
HD-77	● Rhonda BurnoughINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+76	—
HD-78	● Demetrius DouglasINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+48	—
HD-79	● Yasmin NealINC● David Hamrick	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+68.2D+76.5	Solid DSolid D	D+73	—
HD-80	● Long TranINC● Brian Anderson	>99%<1% 99%1%	D+30.0D+27.8	Solid DSolid D	D+22	—
HD-81Runoff 7%	● Mishael White● Noelle KahaianINC	7%93% 11%89%	R+10.9R+11.9	Likely RLikely R	R+17	—
HD-82Runoff 2%	● Anthony Dickson● Karen MathiakINC	2%98% 5%95%	R+16.3R+16.6	Solid RLikely R	R+22	—
HD-83	● Karen LuptonINC● James Smith	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+37.0D+37.1	Solid DSolid D	D+32	—
HD-84	● Mary Margaret OliverINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+82	—
HD-85	● Karla DrennerINC● Tyion Fields	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+66.1D+74.9	Solid DSolid D	D+71	—
HD-86	● Imani BarnesINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+64	—
HD-87	● Viola DavisINC● Timothy Burson	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+55.7D+60.0	Solid DSolid D	D+56	—
HD-88	● Billy MitchellINC● William Freeman	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+59.8D+65.8	Solid DSolid D	D+62	—
HD-89	● Omari CrawfordINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+84	—
HD-90	● Bentley Hudgins● Samantha Boston	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+74.9D+85.8	Solid DSolid D	D+82	—
HD-91	● Angela MooreINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+61	—
HD-92	● Rhonda TaylorINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+60	—
HD-93	● Doreen CarterINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+52	—
HD-94D vs D	● Venola MasonINC● No RepublicanAlso: Kelly Kautz (D)	Democrats only in NovemberDemocrats only in November	—	Solid D (D vs D)Solid D (D vs D)	D+51	—
HD-95	● Dar'shun KendrickINC● Reggie Hall	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+59.5D+65.3	Solid DSolid D	D+61	—
HD-96	● Arlene BecklesINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+29	—
HD-97	● Jyot Singh● Yassin Moghazy	>99%<1% 99%1%	D+26.4D+29.5	Solid DSolid D	D+25	—
HD-98	● Marvin LimINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+37	—
HD-99D flipD flipRunoff 13%	● Michelle Kang● Matt ReevesINC	84%16% 87%13%	D+7.6D+11.7	Likely DLikely D	D+6	—
HD-100Runoff 3%	● Jennifer Ambler● Josh Clark	3%97% 10%91%	R+16.0R+13.0	Solid RLikely R	R+20	—
HD-101	● Scott HolcombINC● Jennifer Hutchison	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+50.2D+52.4	Solid DSolid D	D+47	—
HD-102	● Gabe OkoyeINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+32	—
HD-103Runoff 7%	● Chris Luchey● Soo HongINC	8%92% 19%81%	R+10.8R+8.4	Likely RLikely R	R+14	—
HD-104	● No Democrat● Chuck EfstrationINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+24	—
HD-105D flipD flipRunoff 14%	● Farooq Mughal● Sandy DonatucciINC	82%18% 77%23%	D+6.9D+7.2	Likely DLean D	D+2	—
HD-106	● Akbar AliINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+21	—
HD-107	● Sam ParkINC● Murray Berkowitz	>99%<1% 98%2%	D+27.9D+23.4	Solid DSolid D	D+18	—
HD-108Runoff 3%	● Rahim Asani● Elvia Davila	97%3% 92%8%	D+14.9D+13.9	Solid DLikely D	D+9	—
HD-109	● Juan Estrada● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+40	—
HD-110	● Segun AdeyinaINC● Charles Lollar	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+34.8D+33.9	Solid DSolid D	D+29	—
HD-111Runoff 3%	● Scott Jackson● Reynaldo MartinezINC	3%97% 6%94%	R+14.5R+15.6	Solid RLikely R	R+20	—
HD-112	● Lisa Maria● Bruce WilliamsonINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+31.7R+33.9	Solid RSolid R	R+38	—
HD-113	● Karla Hooper● Don Scarbrough	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+46.7D+49.1	Solid DSolid D	D+45	—
HD-114	● Michael Caw● Brett Mauldin	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+34.2R+33.1	Solid RSolid R	R+38	—
HD-115	● Regina Lewis-WardINC● Darius Francis	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+62.0D+68.6	Solid DSolid D	D+65	—
HD-116	● El-Mahdi HollyINC● Samie Conyers	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+62.5D+68.2	Solid DSolid D	D+65	—
HD-117	● Kim Smith● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+49	—
HD-118	● Sharonda Bell● Clint CroweINC	<1%>99% 1%99%	R+23.1R+26.9	Solid RSolid R	R+31	—
HD-119	● Catherine Morris● Holt PersingerINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+35.6R+38.6	Solid RSolid R	R+43	—
HD-120Runoff 14%	● Suzanna Karatassos● Gary Black	17%83% 25%75%	R+7.0R+6.4	Likely RLean R	R+11	—
HD-121Flip riskR flipRunoff 21%	● Eric GislerINC● Mack Guest	58%42% 35%65%	D+1.7R+3.7	Toss-upLean R	R+9	—
HD-122	● Spencer FryeINC● Carol Hubbard	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+54.3D+55.1	Solid DSolid D	D+51	—
HD-123	● Hope Beard● Rob LeverettINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+32.7R+35.1	Solid RSolid R	R+40	—
HD-124Runoff 1%	● Melanie Miller● Trey RhodesINC	1%99% 3%97%	R+18.5R+19.3	Solid RSolid R	R+24	—
HD-125Runoff 1%	● Leonard Hennessy● Gary RichardsonINC	1%99% 3%97%	R+18.3R+19.7	Solid RSolid R	R+24	—
HD-126	● L.C. MylesINC● William Harris	99%1% 98%2%	D+23.0D+24.0	Solid DSolid D	D+20	—
HD-127	● Channing Taylor● Mark NewtonINC	1%99% 3%97%	R+22.9R+19.8	Solid RSolid R	R+25	—
HD-128Flip riskFlip riskRunoff 21%	● Tyrone Evans● Trey Sheppard	51%49% 55%45%	D+0.2D+1.4	Toss-upToss-up	R+3	—
HD-129	● Karlton HowardINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+34	—
HD-130	● Sheila NelsonINC● David Carson	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+40.0D+41.0	Solid DSolid D	D+36	—
HD-131Runoff 1%	● Jenny Eppard● Rob CliftonINC	1%99% 2%98%	R+19.9R+21.2	Solid RSolid R	R+27	—
HD-132	● Brian PrinceINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+38	—
HD-133	● No Democrat● Danny MathisINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+37	—
HD-134	● No Democrat● Robert DickeyINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+38	—
HD-135	● No Democrat● Beth CampINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+47	—
HD-136	● No Democrat● David JenkinsINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+35	—
HD-137	● Debbie BucknerINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+18	—
HD-138	● Cyndie Hutchings● Vance SmithINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+34.6R+34.9	Solid RSolid R	R+40	—
HD-139Runoff 2%	● Elliot Valdez● Carmen RiceINC	2%98% 7%93%	R+16.4R+15.0	Solid RLikely R	R+20	—
HD-140	● Marquese Averett● Edward Kvietkus	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+48.4D+52.6	Solid DSolid D	D+48	—
HD-141	● Carolyn HugleyINC● Reggie Liparoto	>99%<1% >99%<1%	D+49.4D+48.8	Solid DSolid D	D+44	—
HD-142	● Miriam ParisINC● Calvin Palmer	>99%<1% 98%2%	D+25.2D+22.2	Solid DSolid D	D+17	—
HD-143	● Anissa JonesINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+27	—
HD-144	● No Democrat● Dale WashburnINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+39	—
HD-145Runoff 4%	● Tangie HerringINC● Eric Wilson	96%4% 84%16%	D+14.6D+9.9	Solid DLikely D	D+6	—
HD-146	● No Democrat● Shaw BlackmonINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+19	—
HD-147Runoff 15%	● Renita Duncan● Bethany BallardINC	20%80% 37%63%	R+6.3R+3.3	Lean RLean R	R+8	—
HD-148	● Cynthia Johnson● Noel Williams Jr.INC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+27.9R+30.3	Solid RSolid R	R+35	—
HD-149Runoff 3%	● Floyd GriffinINC● Randy Peters	97%3% 94%6%	D+15.0D+16.2	Solid DLikely D	D+12	—
HD-150Runoff 6%	● Patty Marie StinsonINC● Cary Moore	93%7% 84%16%	D+11.9D+10.1	Likely DLikely D	D+6	—
HD-151Flip riskRunoff 13%	● Ethan Wolfe● Mike CheokasINC	18%82% 46%54%	R+7.7R+0.9	Likely RToss-up	R+5	—
HD-152	● Mitchell Rosa● William J. "Bill" YeartaINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+33.9R+34.7	Solid RSolid R	R+39	—
HD-153	● David SampsonINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+39	—
HD-154D flipRunoff 17%	● Harry James● Gerald GreeneINC	37%63% 73%27%	R+3.0D+6.1	Lean RLean D	D+2	—
HD-155	● Joe Powers● Matt HatchettINC	<1%>99% 1%99%	R+30.7R+29.1	Solid RSolid R	R+34	—
HD-156	● No Democrat● Leesa HaganINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+46	—
HD-157	● Micah King● Bradley Anderson	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+45.7R+49.8	Solid RSolid R	R+54	—
HD-158	● No Democrat● Butch ParrishINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+34	—
HD-159	● No Democrat● Jon G. BurnsINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+43	—
HD-160	● No Democrat● Lehman FranklinINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+38	—
HD-161Runoff 2%	● David Dillie● Bill HitchensINC	2%98% 9%91%	R+18.0R+13.2	Solid RLikely R	R+18	—
HD-162	● Orlando Scott● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+32	—
HD-163	● Anne Allen WestbrookINC● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+45	—
HD-164Runoff 4%	● Stephanie Burgess● Ron StephensINC	4%96% 16%84%	R+14.6R+9.5	Solid RLikely R	R+14	—
HD-165	● MiQuan Green● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+55	—
HD-166	● Pat Daley● Jesse PetreaINC	<1%>99% 2%98%	R+23.8R+23.2	Solid RSolid R	R+28	—
HD-167	● Nathaniel Hicks Jr.● Buddy DeLoachINC	<1%>99% 1%99%	R+26.4R+26.7	Solid RSolid R	R+31	—
HD-168	● Al WilliamsINC● Kevin Remillard	>99%<1% 98%2%	D+31.4D+23.4	Solid DSolid D	D+19	—
HD-169	● No Democrat● Angie O'SteenINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+48	—
HD-170	● No Democrat● Jaclyn FordINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+45	—
HD-171	● No Democrat● Joe CampbellINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+26	—
HD-172	● No Democrat● Charles CannonINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+48	—
HD-173Runoff 3%	● Adam Chitwood● Darlene TaylorINC	3%97% 7%93%	R+15.2R+15.5	Solid RLikely R	R+20	—
HD-174	● David Hall● John CorbettINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+42.0R+46.3	Solid RSolid R	R+50	—
HD-175	● Anissa Wiseman● John LaHoodINC	<1%>99% 1%99%	R+25.0R+26.8	Solid RSolid R	R+31	—
HD-176	● Marcus Ryan● James BurchettINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+38.3R+38.8	Solid RSolid R	R+43	—
HD-177	● Elsie Napier● No Republican	Democrat unopposedDemocrat unopposed	—	Uncontested DUncontested D	D+15	—
HD-178	● Barry Dunham● Steven MeeksINC	<1%>99% <1%>99%	R+56.1R+66.0	Solid RSolid R	R+70	—
HD-179	● No Democrat● Rick TownsendINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+18	—
HD-180	● No Democrat● Steven SainzINC	Republican unopposedRepublican unopposed	—	Uncontested RUncontested R	R+35	—

Lean: how much more Democratic (D+) or Republican (R+) the place voted for president than the nation (2024 weighted 75%, 2020 25%). Ratings follow the chance of winning: Toss-up 40–60%, Lean 60–80%, Likely 80–95%, Solid 95%+. INC = incumbent running. D flip / R flip: another party is favored (60% or more) over the party holding the seat now (hover for the chance it changes parties); Flip risk: the seat is a toss-up (40–60%). Badges mark election rules (hover or long-press for details): RCV = ranked-choice voting; Top two / Top four = the leading primary finishers advance; All-party = every candidate on one November ballot; TBD = no candidate list yet, forecast for the seat's party against a generic challenger.