Runoff if no majority
A candidate needs more than half the vote in November. Otherwise the top two meet in a runoff on December 1, 2026. The forecast shows the chance that a race goes to a runoff.
Georgia › Georgia House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Georgia House District 108
Asani is very likely to win: Asani wins in 49 of every 50 simulations.
Asani wins Nov 3
96%
Runoff Dec 1
3%
Davila wins Nov 3
2%
Including the runoff: Asani 97% · Davila 3% to win the seat. In a runoff, Asani wins 54% of the time.
- Average margin
- D+14.9
- 80% of outcomes
- D+6 to D+25
- Partisan lean
- D+9
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Asani is clearly favored to win: Asani wins in about 9 of every 10 simulations.
Asani wins Nov 3
89%
Runoff Dec 1
6%
Davila wins Nov 3
6%
Including the runoff: Asani 92% · Davila 8% to win the seat. In a runoff, Asani wins 51% of the time.
- Average margin
- D+13.9
- 80% of outcomes
- D+2 to D+27
- Partisan lean
- D+9
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
How this race is decided
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Democratic
Rahim Asani
Republican
Elvia Davila
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Georgia state offices
- −1.6Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+8.0Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Southeast adjustment
- −1.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 0 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | 1.53 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | 1.72 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean D+9: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 58,601
- People per km²
- 913
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 44%
- White, no degree
- 20%of adults
- White 38%
- Hispanic 22%
- Black 17%
- Asian 15%
- Other / multiracial 8%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
28,433 votes · D+7.7✓ Jasmine Clark (D)53.9%
Elvia Davila (R)46.1%
2024 President Vote in this district
28,433 two-party votes · D+8.9 · D+10.4 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)54.4%
Donald Trump (R)45.6%
2022 Earlier district lines
21,406 votes · D+4.2✓ Jasmine Clark (D)52.1%
Johnny Crist (R)47.9%
2020 Earlier district lines
26,636 votes · D+9.6✓ Jasmine Clark (D)54.8%
Johnny Crist (R)45.2%
2020 President Vote in this district
28,971 two-party votes · D+7.7 · D+3.2 vs. the nation✓ Joe Biden (D)53.9%
Donald Trump (R)46.1%
2016 President Vote in this district
23,455 two-party votes · R+10.1 · R+12.3 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)55.0%
Hillary Clinton (D)45.0%