Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
New York Times/Siena University
29 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 17 races. Latest: Oct 1, 2026.
Also listed as The New York Times/Siena University.
- Polls
- 2929 in 17 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- R+0.3Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 0.3 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Alaska | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Peltola 50 · Sullivan 43 | D+7 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Iowa | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 606 LV | Turek 47 · Hinson 48 | R+1 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 616 LV | Brown 49 · Husted 46 | D+3 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Alaska Governor | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 46 · Bronson 17 | D+29 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Alaska Governor | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 52 · Bronson 48 | D+4 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Alaska Governor | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Kreiss-Tomkins 40 · Bronson 14 | D+26 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Iowa Governor | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 606 LV | Sand 52 · Lahn 41 | D+11 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Ohio Governor | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 616 LV | Acton 49 · Ramaswamy 45 | D+4 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Sep 22–Oct 1 | 615 LV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 46 | D+3 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Alaska's at-large District | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Hill 37 · III 49 | R+12 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Alaska's at-large District | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Hill 47 · III 53 | R+6 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Alaska's at-large District | Sep 24–Oct 1 | 504 LV | Hill 35 · III 47 | R+12 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Kansas | Sep 22–Sep 30 | 605 LV | Hamilton 45 · Marshall 45 | Even | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Kansas | Sep 22–Sep 30 | 605 LV | Hamilton 46 · Marshall 47 | R+1 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Sep 21–Sep 30 | 615 LV | Talarico 51 · Paxton 45 | D+6 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Kansas Governor | Sep 22–Sep 30 | 605 LV | Holscher 44 · Masterson 49 | R+5 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Maine | Sep 15–Sep 22 | 619 LV | Jackson 46 · Collins 49 | R+3 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Michigan | Sep 15–Sep 22 | 605 LV | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 44 | D+5 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in New Hampshire | Sep 15–Sep 22 | 613 LV | Pappas 50 · Sununu 45 | D+5 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Michigan Governor | Sep 15–Sep 22 | 605 LV | Benson 48 · James 43 | D+5 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| New Hampshire Governor | Sep 15–Sep 22 | 613 LV | Warmington 41 · Ayotte 52 | R+11 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Alaska | Jun 15–Jun 29 | 593 LV | Peltola 45 · Sullivan 47 | R+2 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Ohio (special) | Jun 15–Jun 28 | 601 LV | Brown 47 · Husted 50 | R+3 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Ohio Governor | Jun 15–Jun 28 | 601 LV | Acton 47 · Ramaswamy 47 | Even | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Iowa | Jun 15–Jun 27 | 600 LV | Turek 46 · Hinson 48 | R+2 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in North Carolina | Jun 15–Jun 27 | 601 LV | Cooper 50 · Whatley 43 | D+7 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Jun 19–Jun 27 | 656 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 47 | Even | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Iowa Governor | Jun 15–Jun 27 | 600 LV | Sand 48 · Lahn 47 | D+1 | nytimes.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Jun 19–Jun 27 | 656 LV | Hinojosa 44 · Abbott 51 | R+7 | nytimes.com ↗ |