Democratic
South Carolina › South Carolina House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
South Carolina House District 28
Huff is very likely to win: Huff wins in 49 of every 50 simulations.
Buckalew (D)
1%
chance of winning
Huff (R)
99%
- Average margin
- R+17.0
- 80% of outcomes
- R+26 to R+8
- Partisan lean
- R+24
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Huff is very likely to win: Huff wins in 19 of every 20 simulations.
Buckalew (D)
4%
chance of winning
Huff (R)
96%
- Average margin
- R+18.3
- 80% of outcomes
- R+31 to R+6
- Partisan lean
- R+24
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
RepublicanIncumbent
Chris Huff
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- South Carolina state offices
- −1.1Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+8.4Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Southeast adjustment
- −1.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.28 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -3.54 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -3.54 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+24: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 51,846
- People per km²
- 160
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 37%
- White, no degree
- 37%of adults
- White 58%
- Hispanic 11%
- Black 22%
- Asian 3%
- Other / multiracial 6%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
23,273 votes · R+29.9✓ Chris Huff (R)64.9%
J. Fritz Wiebel (D)35.0%
2024 President Vote in this district
23,330 two-party votes · R+25.7 · R+24.2 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)62.9%
Kamala Harris (D)37.1%
2022 Earlier district lines
15,027 votes · R+35.8✓ Ashley Trantham (R)67.8%
John Fritz Wiebel (D)32.1%
2020 Earlier district lines
24,551 votes · R+30.4✓ Ashley Trantham (R)65.1%
Ty Washington (D)34.8%
2020 President Vote in this district
24,672 two-party votes · R+18.0 · R+22.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)59.0%
Joe Biden (D)41.0%
2016 President Vote in this district
16,650 two-party votes · R+29.2 · R+31.4 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)64.6%
Hillary Clinton (D)35.4%
Also on the ballot in South Carolina
Neighboring districts
HD-7Elizabeth W CooleyLee Gilreath>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-9Johnny EstrichBlake Sanders>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-10Thomas StewartThomas Beach>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-11Jessica BeasleyCraig A. Gagnon>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-14Michanna TateRick Shealy>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-16Lynn RamirezMark N Willis>99%Rep.99%Rep. HD-24Caroline AvingerBruce Bannister77%Rep.60%Rep. HD-25Wendell K. Jones—>99%Dem.>99%Dem. HD-27John MacCarthyDavid Vaughan90%Rep.85%Rep.