Democratic
Ohio › Ohio House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Ohio House District 57
Styles is clearly favored to win: Styles wins in about 9 of every 10 simulations.
Walker (D)
8%
chance of winning
Styles (R)
92%
- Average margin
- R+10.2
- 80% of outcomes
- R+20 to R+1
- Partisan lean
- R+21
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Styles is clearly favored to win: Styles wins in about 19 of every 20 simulations.
Walker (D)
7%
chance of winning
Styles (R)
93%
- Average margin
- R+14.0
- 80% of outcomes
- R+27 to R+2
- Partisan lean
- R+21
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Republican
Jesse Styles
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Ohio state offices
- +1.0Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+10.5Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Midwest adjustment
- +0.3How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 0 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.34 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -1.83 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+21: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 119,057
- People per km²
- 75
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 31%
- White, no degree
- 60%of adults
- White 84%
- Hispanic 8%
- Black 3%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 4%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
65,462 votes · R+25.2✓ Jamie Callender (R)62.6%
Rick Walker (D)37.4%
2024 President Vote in this district
68,808 two-party votes · R+21.1 · R+19.6 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)60.6%
Kamala Harris (D)39.4%
2022 Earlier district lines
50,006 votes · R+25.2✓ Jamie Callender (R)62.6%
Evan Rosborough (D)37.4%
2020 Earlier district lines
63,142 votes · R+34.3✓ Dick Stein (R)67.1%
Dara Adkison (D)32.9%
2020 President Vote in this district
68,805 two-party votes · R+20.0 · R+24.6 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)60.0%
Joe Biden (D)40.0%
2016 President Vote in this district
59,134 two-party votes · R+21.5 · R+23.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)60.8%
Hillary Clinton (D)39.2%