Democratic
Ohio › Ohio House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Ohio House District 88
Click is very likely to win: Click wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Jones (D)
<1%
chance of winning
Click (R)
>99%
- Average margin
- R+23.7
- 80% of outcomes
- R+33 to R+15
- Partisan lean
- R+34
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Click is very likely to win: Click wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Jones (D)
1%
chance of winning
Click (R)
99%
- Average margin
- R+26.7
- 80% of outcomes
- R+39 to R+14
- Partisan lean
- R+34
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
RepublicanIncumbent
Gary Click
Incumbent representative (2021–present)
- Experience
- State legislature
Libertarian
Benjamin Machoukas
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Ohio state offices
- +1.0Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+10.5Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Midwest adjustment
- +0.3How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.97 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | 2.92 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 2.92 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+34: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 113,548
- People per km²
- 45
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 19%
- White, no degree
- 70%of adults
- White 85%
- Hispanic 8%
- Black 3%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 4%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
53,129 votes · R+33.1✓ Gary Click (R)66.6%
Dianne Selvey (D)33.4%
2024 President Vote in this district
54,456 two-party votes · R+34.2 · R+32.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)67.1%
Kamala Harris (D)32.9%
2022 Earlier district lines
39,244 votes · R+35.6✓ Gary Click (R)67.8%
Dianne Selvey (D)32.2%
2020 Earlier district lines
52,182 votes · R+25.8✓ Gary N Click (R)62.9%
Chris Liebold (D)37.1%
2020 President Vote in this district
54,844 two-party votes · R+31.2 · R+35.8 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)65.6%
Joe Biden (D)34.4%
2016 President Vote in this district
48,474 two-party votes · R+28.5 · R+30.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)64.2%
Hillary Clinton (D)35.8%