Democratic
North Carolina › North Carolina House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
North Carolina House District 94
Eddins is very likely to win: Eddins wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Warren (D)
<1%
chance of winning
Eddins (R)
>99%
- Average margin
- R+44.3
- 80% of outcomes
- R+54 to R+35
- Partisan lean
- R+58
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Eddins is very likely to win: Eddins wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Warren (D)
<1%
chance of winning
Eddins (R)
>99%
- Average margin
- R+52.6
- 80% of outcomes
- R+66 to R+40
- Partisan lean
- R+58
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
RepublicanIncumbent
Blair Eddins
- Experience
- State legislature
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- North Carolina state offices
- +0.0Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+9.5Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Southeast adjustment
- −1.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.32 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | 6.09 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 6.09 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+58: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 83,266
- People per km²
- 40
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 18%
- White, no degree
- 72%of adults
- White 85%
- Hispanic 7%
- Black 5%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 3%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
45,902 votes · R+53.9✓ Blair Eddins (R)77.0%
Steve Moree (D)23.0%
2024 President Vote in this district
46,925 two-party votes · R+58.2 · R+56.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)79.1%
Kamala Harris (D)20.9%
2022 Earlier district lines
34,876 votes · R+60.1✓ Jeffrey Elmore (R)80.1%
Chuck Hubbard (D)19.9%
2020 Earlier district lines
73,392 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Jeffrey Elmore (R)100.0%
2020 President Vote in this district
52,442 two-party votes · R+55.2 · R+59.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)77.6%
Joe Biden (D)22.4%
2016 President Vote in this district
60,460 two-party votes · R+53.9 · R+56.2 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)77.0%
Hillary Clinton (D)23.0%
Also on the ballot in North Carolina
Neighboring districts
HD-77Sabrina HarrisJulia Craven Howard>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-84Chris GilbertJeffrey McNeely>99%Rep.99%Rep. HD-87Iris BenderDestin Hall>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-89Robert ThompsonMitchell Setzer>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-90Ken BadgettDan Kiger>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-93Charlie WallinRay Pickett90%Rep.86%Rep. HD-96Park InglefieldJay Adams99%Rep.97%Rep.