DemocraticIncumbent
Minnesota › Minnesota State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Minnesota State Senate District 60
Clark is very likely to win: Clark wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Clark (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Wolters (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+70.1
- 80% of outcomes
- D+61 to D+80
- Partisan lean
- D+72
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Clark is very likely to win: Clark wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Clark (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Wolters (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+75.9
- 80% of outcomes
- D+63 to D+89
- Partisan lean
- D+72
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Republican
Abigail Wolters
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Minnesota state offices
- −1.6Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+7.9Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Midwest adjustment
- +0.3How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | 1.06 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -9.21 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean D+72: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 86,552
- People per km²
- 2,661
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 54%
- White, no degree
- 24%of adults
- White 61%
- Hispanic 7%
- Black 16%
- Asian 8%
- Other / multiracial 8%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2025 special
8,561 votes · D+82.5✓ Doron Clark (D)90.9%
Abigail Wolters (R)8.7%
2024 President Vote in this district
36,559 two-party votes · D+70.9 · D+72.4 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)85.5%
Donald Trump (R)14.5%
2022
26,844 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Kari Dziedzic (D)98.7%
Write-In (—)1.3%
2020 Earlier district lines
43,729 votes · D+71.7✓ Kari Dziedzic (D)85.7%
Mary Holmberg (R)14.1%
2020 President Vote in this district
40,077 two-party votes · D+75.0 · D+70.4 vs. the nation✓ Joe Biden (D)87.5%
Donald Trump (R)12.5%
2016 President Vote in this district
36,478 two-party votes · D+69.2 · D+67.0 vs. the nation✓ Hillary Clinton (D)84.6%
Donald Trump (R)15.4%
Also on the ballot in Minnesota
Neighboring districts
SD-39Mary K KuneshPam Wolf>99%Dem.>99%Dem. SD-40John MartyRachel Japuntich>99%Dem.>99%Dem. SD-59Bobby Joe Champion—>99%Dem.>99%Dem. SD-61Scott Dibble—>99%Dem.>99%Dem. SD-62Omar Fateh—>99%Dem.>99%Dem. SD-63Zaynab MohamedDiane Napper>99%Dem.>99%Dem. SD-66Clare Oumou VerbetenKathleen Bart>99%Dem.>99%Dem.